“The institutional bid has all but vanished,” said Yusuf Fakhro, partner at ARP Digital, pointing to CME futures open interest at a 32-month low and a term structure at its tightest since early 2023. He added that six-month options skew, a measure of how much traders pay to protect against a drop, has spiked to its fourth-highest on record, with the only parallels in June and November 2022, both of which came near major cycle bottoms. When downside insurance gets this expensive, he said, the market is paying up for protection just as the worst may already be priced in.Oil…

From Judge Steven Merryday (M.D. Fla.) today in Trump v. N.Y. Times Co. (for the Complaint in the underlying case, which involves various statements about Trump’s early life and business career, see here): A public figure, perhaps the world’s most prominent public figure, whose actions and remarks routinely generate immediate global news coverage, sues a newspaper, perhaps the world’s most prominent English-language newspaper, along with the world’s largest trade book publisher and three authors. The plaintiff initiates in the Middle District of Florida an action for defamation arising from two articles and a book, researched, written, and edited in New…

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