In brief Polymarket is pricing in a 74% chance of no change at the next Fed meeting, and just 25% on a quarter-point hike. Kalshi’s September Fed-decision contract prices a 73.5% hold, with roughly $10 million wagered on the outcome. Myriad’s “Fed Decision in September?” market lists “No Change” at about 75% odds, and resolves after the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Prediction markets are converging on the same forecast for the Federal Reserve’s September meeting: don’t expect anything to change.Polymarket’s “Fed Decision in September?” market puts the odds of no change at 74%, with a quarter-point hike at 25% and…

AI & Crypto

Read More

Politics

Don't Miss!