Clarity odds jump to 43% on Polymarket after reports Trump agreed to ethics deal

Ethics has been the last major obstacle to the Clarity Act, which would create the first comprehensive federal framework for digital assets and split oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The dispute has centered on the extent to which political figures and other officials can profit from crypto while in office, a question sharpened by Trump’s memecoins and his family’s stake in World Liberty Financial, which financial disclosures last month showed earned him millions.

The provision was discussed at a July 16 meeting between Trump, Republican Senators Bernie Moreno and Cynthia Lummis, and White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt. The Senate has until early August to vote.

Crypto extended its rally during the European morning on Tuesday after the reports circulated. Bitcoin BTC$66,491.69 traded near $66,300, around 3% higher in the last 24 hours, with ether and XRP seeing gains of around 4%. Traders pointed to the rebound in AI and semiconductor stocks, including memory makers Samsung and SK Hynix, as the main driver rather than the legislative news, though the reported ethics breakthrough added to the risk-on tone.

UPDATE (July 21, 2026, 14:39 UTC): Adds reporting on Clarity Act ethics agreement.