As BTC, ETH prices gain, derivatives signal skepticism over a sustained rally

Bitcoin BTC$63,988.45 has risen 1.4% since midnight UTC, catching a tailwind as hopes for an Iran-U.S. deal sent oil prices lower. The move provided a lift to major altcoins, with ether (ETH) adding 2.4% and solana (SOL) and BNB advancing about 1.5%. XRP lagged with a 0.7% gain.

Despite the green shoots among the majors, the broader market has yet to follow suit. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20) remains slightly lower over 24 hours. Still, smaller outliers like DEXE and BEAT jumped of 8% and 5%.

Monday’s bounce, however, is being met with heavy skepticism from some analysts, particularly when comparing bitcoin’s price with its simple moving average (SMA).

“BTC has clawed back to $64K but nothing behind it. The 200-week SMA near $62.2K held the weekend dips, and that line with the $60K shelf is what separates a base from a deeper leg, while $66K to $68K caps the upside,” analysts at Marx said in an email.

“We buy near the 200 week and sell into resistance, we do not chase the middle,” they added.