Nasdaq Joins Wall Street Push For Prediction Markets

One of Nasdaq’s options exchanges, Nasdaq MRX, has filed to offer cash-settled, binary-style contracts on the Nasdaq-100 Index, adding to a wave of Wall Street firms testing the prediction market waters. 

Nasdaq, the firm behind the second-largest stock exchange by market capitalization, is looking to offer “Outcome Related Options” for yes-or-no bets, priced between 1 cent and $1, according to its filing to the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday.

The offering would allow traders to take binary positions on events linked to the Nasdaq-100 and Nasdaq-100 Micro indexes — not on outcomes related to other events, such as sports, culture, or politics.

Some of the most notable stocks in the Nasdaq-100 include Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOGL), Meta (META) and Tesla (TSLA).

SEC approval could see it enter a booming market alongside the likes of Polymarket and Kalshi, while crypto trading platforms like Coinbase and Crypto.com are also integrating prediction markets.

Other Wall Street players, such as the Intercontinental Exchange, CME Group and Cboe Global Markets, have also invested in the space or signaled an intention to launch their own prediction market-style offerings.

CME Group’s partnership with American gambling company FanDuel will enable traders to bet on markets outside of finance, while Cboe’s offering will be focused on finance and economic contracts.

Crypto asset manager Bitwise also filed with the SEC last month to launch “PredictionShares” exchange-traded funds that seek to hold event contracts tied to the 2028 US presidential election, while GraniteShares and Roundhill also made similar filings in February.