Running for the Exits: Crypto Daybook Americas

By Francisco Rodrigues (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

The Czech National Bank became the world’s first central bank to buy bitcoin BTC$95,270.36, and a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) debuted in the US with an impressive trading volume.

Yet what’s dominating headlines is bitcoin’s fall below $100,000 and the crypto market crash. The CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index has slumped 8.35% in the last 24 hours amid a broader drawdown that saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average drop 1.65% tech-heavy Nasdaq lose 2.29% on Thursday.

Spot bitcoin ETFs also saw significant outflows. Investors pulled $869 million on Thursday, the second-largest daily exit on record. Over the past three weeks, spot bitcoin ETFs have lost $2.64 billion.

“We’re seeing steady interest in owning long-dated BTC vol around 80–120k, paired with selective short-term call selling (classic covered call activity),” crypto market maker Wintermute said. “Positioning leans neutral-to-cautious but shows no appetite to chase big downside.”

When it comes to ether options, Wintermute noted it’s seeing “consistent downside hedging into year-end, and active call selling across the curve, especially 3.5-4.0k.” Traders are positioning for downside.

The sell-off sparked a wave of liquidations, leading to more than $1.11 billion over the last 24 hours, according to CoinGlass. It comes as expectations of a U.S. interest-rate cut in December start dropping and concerns about an AI bubble mount.

The CME’s FedWatch tool shows the odds of a rate cut this month are close to a toss-up, while traders on Polymarket are still giving a 25 bps cut a slight edge, weighing a 52% chance of that happening. That’s down from 90% late last month.

Adding to the uncertainty, the White House said that recent key economic indicators, including October inflation, may not be released at all due to delays from the now-ended government shutdown.

“Now that the AI excitement is cooling and more questions are raised around spending, concerns around the K-shaped economy in the US are raised again,” Wintermute wrote.

Despite the milestones, the crypto sector is reaching, with spot ETFs from major issuers being traded and a central bank buying BTC, macro headwinds are keeping prices under pressure. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead”.

• Crypto
• Macro
• Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
  • Nov. 14: American Bitcoin (ABTC), pre-market.
  • Nov. 14: Hive Digital Technologies (HIVE), post-market.

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead”.

• Governance votes & calls
  • Convex Finance is voting to discontinue OFT token support for assets like frxETH on Polygon zkEVM and Blast, citing their deprecation or inactivity. Voting ends Nov. 14.
• Unlocks
  • Nov. 15: WalletConnect Token (WCT) to unlock 65.21% of its circulating supply worth $13.76 million.
  • Nov. 15: CONX$17.65 to unlock 2.92% of its circulating supply worth $25.45 million.
  • Nov. 15: STRK$0.1395 to unlock 5.34% of its circulating supply worth $14.44 million.
  • Nov. 16: ARB$0.2352 to unlock 1.94% of its circulating supply worth $24.76 million.
• Token Launches
  • Nov. 14: Pieverse (Pieverse) to be listed on Binance, MEXC, BingX, XT and others.

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead”.

Market Movements

• BTC is down 1.87% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $104,909.52 (24hrs: -6.05%)
• ETH is down 0.56% at $3,160.31 (24hrs: -9.6%)
• CoinDesk 20 is down 1.17%at 3,096.79 (24hrs: -8.14%)
• Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 2 bps at 2.88%
• BTC funding rate is at 0.0082% (8.944% annualized) on Binance

• DXY is up 0.2% at 99.36
• Gold futures are down 0.56% at $4,170.90
• Silver futures are down 1.08% at $52.60
• Nikkei 225 closed down 1.77% at 50,376.53
• Hang Seng closed down 1.85% at 26,572.46
• FTSE is down 1.35% at 9,675.09
• Euro Stoxx 50 is down 1.01% at 5,684.85
• DJIA closed on Thursday down 1.65% at 47,457.22
• S&P 500 closed down 1.66% at 6,737.49
• Nasdaq Composite closed down 2.29% at 22,870.36
• S&P/TSX Composite closed down 1.86% at 30,253.64
• S&P 40 Latin America closed down 1.32% at 3,103.60
• U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is up 1.8 bps at 4.129%
• E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 0.23% at 6,744.50
• E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 0.48% at 24,974.25
• E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are down 0.15% at 47,476.00

Bitcoin Stats

• BTC Dominance: 59.77% (-0.67%)
• Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.0327 (0.84%)
• Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 1089 EH/s
• Hashprice (spot): $40.31
• Total fees: 2.96 BTC / $300,582
• CME Futures Open Interest: 140,275 BTC
• BTC priced in gold: 22.8 oz.
• BTC vs gold market cap: 11.46%

Technical Analysis

• The chart shows daily moves in Volmex’s 30-day bitcoin implied volatility index, BVIV.
• The index has formed a pennant pattern, marking a triangular consolidation following the recent bullish trendline breakout.
• Such patterns usually indicate a temporary pause that refreshes higher. Therefore, the pennant could soon resolve bullishly, paving the way for more gains in the index.
• In other words, BTC price volatility expectations could continue to rise in the near-term.

Crypto Equities

• Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Thursday at $283.14 (-6.86%), -1.82% at $277.99 in pre-market
• Circle Internet (CRCL): closed at $82.34 (-4.59%), -0.62% at $81.83
• Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $27.24 (-12.89%), -3.34% at $26.33
• Bullish (BLSH): closed at $41.02 (-9.85%), -2% at $40.20
• MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $12.78 (-11.31%), -2.11% at $12.51
• Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $13.88 (-10.22%), -2.59% at $13.52
• Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $15.16 (-7.79%), -2.97% at $14.71
• CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $11.98 (-10.13%), -3.09% at $11.61
• CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $41.97 (-12.07%)
• Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $18.15 (-8.84%)

Crypto Treasury Companies

• Strategy (MSTR): closed at $208.54 (-7.15%), -1.89% at $204.59
• Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $23 (-10.61%)
• SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $10.99 (-5.01%), -2.37% at $10.73
• Upexi (UPXI): closed at $3.22 (-4.73%), -0.62% at $3.20
• Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.9 (-5.47%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

• Daily net flows: -$866.7 million
• Cumulative net flows: $59.33 billion
• Total BTC holdings ~1.34 million

Spot ETH ETFs

• Daily net flows: -$259.6 million
• Cumulative net flows: $13.33 billion
• Total ETH holdings ~6.48 million

Source: Farside Investors

While You Were Sleeping

• Bitcoin Plunges Under $97,000, ETH, SOL, ADA Down 8% as $880M in Bullish Bets Liquidated (CoinDesk): Bitcoin fell below $98,000 for the first time since May as $1 billion in leveraged crypto positions were wiped out over 24 hours. Roughly $887 million came from longs.
• Why Bitcoin, XRP, Solana, and Ether Slide as Gold and Silver Soar? (CoinDesk) Mounting credit risks are pressuring debt-funded crypto treasuries, raising the threat of forced token sales, while gold and silver benefit from rising fiscal concerns and a global flight to safety.
• 3 Key Charts to Track as Ether Strengthens Against Bitcoin (CoinDesk): ETH’s outperformance lifted its BTC ratio as charts show seller exhaustion and a potential momentum shift signaled by a looming MACD crossover.
• China’s Economy Jolted by Weakest Factory Output, Retail Sales Growth in Over a Year (Reuters): October’s disappointing factory and retail figures highlight deepening structural problems and fading policy tools as Beijing hesitates to unleash fresh stimulus despite mounting pressure.